US urges NATO vigilance for signs Russia could use nuclear weapon in Ukraine

April 18, 2023 event:

The U.S. and its NATO allies must remain alert for signs Russian President Vladimir Putin could use a tactical nuclear weapon in a “managed” escalation of his war in Ukraine, the second-highest U.S. diplomat said on Tuesday. Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman issued the warning during the opening session of an annual NATO arms control conference that was being held in North America for the first time since its inception in 2004. “We have all watched and worried that Vladimir Putin would use what he considers a non-strategic tactical nuclear weapon or use some demonstration effect to escalate, but in an managed risk escalation,” Sherman said. “It is very critical to remain watchful of this.” Putin’s March 25 announcement that Russia is preparing to station tactical nuclear weapons in neighboring Belarus “is his effort to use this threat in a managed way,” Sherman said.

Comment

There is a lot of talk in the press that Ukraine is about to launch a major push back against Russia. But could Putin be defeated and pushed out of Ukraine? Or is it more likely Putin will resort to greater and greater destruction to bring about a permanent stalemate – even an agreement- forced on Ukraine by the West? The latter seems unlikely currently but it is actually the most probable outcome. Putin must succeed and be able to declare some victory. The minimum victory he wants is the recognition that the Donbass region and Crimea are now Russian. The way he could bring nations to the table is by showing he will go to ANY lengths to achieve this goal. Tactical nuclear weapons are much smaller nukes and the fear is Putin may well use them. The Bible says Gog / Putin brings about “fearful destruction and shall succeed in what he does…”

when the transgressors have reached their full measure, a king of bold countenance, one who understands riddles, shall arise. His power shall be great, and he shall cause fearful destruction, and shall succeed in what he does, and destroy mighty men and the people of the saints. (Daniel 8:23-24)

Andy Walton

Weekly World Watch Apr 16th – 29th 2023

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Preceding

PM warns Vladimir Putin against ‘tragic mistake’ as tensions rise with Ukraine

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Additional reading

1. Prepare for Russian invasion of Ukraine, US warns European allies
2. Iranian nuclear programme geared towards creating a bomb
3. Putin plays dangerous poker game
4. Stories the Week brought to you from 2022 May 26 – June 01
5. Going to the end of 2022 having to see an ongoing invasion
6. Putin puts Russia’s nuclear force on high alert
7. Targets in north, west, center of Ukraine and Crimean peninsula
8. Putin needing weapons from Xi
9. Sunday 2023 March 26 Frontpage
10. What we know on day 397 of the Russian invasion
11. The Developments for the second half of April

Food crisis looms as landmines litter Ukraine farmer’s fields

The Times, May 2, 2022

Event

Ukraine, one of the most fertile and productive countries in the world, has been known historically as the “bread basket of Europe”. Now it is facing a complex and unprecedented agricultural crisis, in which landmines are only one of numerous interlinked problems. The United Nations estimates this year’s harvest will be 20 per cent lower than normal; others predict the reduction will be as much as 30 per cent. Not only will this have a serious effect on the ability of Ukraine to feed itself — but also on people across the world, who depend, without even being aware of it, on Ukrainian wheat, Ukrainian corn, and Ukrainian sunflower seeds go into the flour, bread and cooking oil that feed people across the world. World food prices were rising anyway, and the invasion has accelerated this. The global food price index issued by the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organisation recently made its biggest jump since it was established in 1990, thanks to all-time record prices for vegetable oils, cereals and meat.

Comment

The impact on food availability and food prices due to the war in Ukraine cannot be underestimated. Middle East and African nations rely heavily on Ukraine for wheat and corn. 60% of Lebanon’s wheat supply just prior to the war was being shipped in from Ukraine. Lebanon has only one month of wheat reserves remaining. Egypt (with over 100 million people to feed) is the world’s largest importer of wheat. 85% of all Egypt’s wheat come from just 2 places – Ukraine and Russia – who are both at war. The Arab Spring (a series of of anti government protests) which began in 2010 is put down to unrest caused by food shortages and increasing food prices. It resulted in regime changes in Tunisia, Egypt and Libya. Jesus says there will be famine (food shortage)…

Then said he unto them, Nation shall rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom:  And great earthquakes shall be in divers places, and famines, and pestilences; and fearful sights and great signs shall there be from heaven. (Luke 21:10-11)

Events in Ukraine could cause a manmade famine. The word famine means “scarcity of harvest” which is happening in Ukraine…

Andy Walton,

Weekly World Watch > Download this week’s WWW

 

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Additional reading

1. Some highlights of the invasion of Ukraine March 9-16
2. Ukraine from 2022 March 16-20
3. Grain shortages affect international markets
4. Mix of strong demand and limited supply igniting inflation
5. Northern Hemisphere time of Spring & War in Ukraine
6. Composted reads for the 3rd week of May 2022

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2. Ukraine has a plan to start exporting its wheat again—but there’s a huge catch
3. NZ Farmers Face Global Wheat Shortage
4. Ukraine’s Vast Wealth of Natural Resources | Russia’s Lone Fossil Fuel Industry
5. War in Ukraine contributes to rising wheat prices around the world
6. Russia is stealing Ukraine’s grain and trying to sell it to other countries
7. India bans wheat exports
8. India Bans Most Wheat Exports, Adding to Fears of Global Food Insecurity
9. Grain War
10. Explained: How wheat export ban will impact domestic prices in India?
11. Weekly Analysis: Wheat
12. Wheat Crisis: Wheat prices increased in international market
13. Wheat price soars to the daily limit as India bans exports to make sure they have enough for themselves, angering G7 ministers
14. India’s wheat export ban is another reality check for its lofty soft power goals
15. Top wheat producer states of India in 2022
16. The export bans driving up food prices around the world
17. Govt OKs exporting wheat registered with customs prior to ban
18. Wheat yield decreased by 3 per cent compared to last year
19. Wheat prices surge 50pc in Kandahar this season
20. MoF strictly bans export of wheat
21. High Demand And Low Supply of Wheat Amidst Ban
22. Paperwork

UN suspends Russia from human rights body over atrocities in Ukraine

Event:

United Nations (UN) General Assembly hall at the UN Headquarters, New York City, 2006

The United Nations general assembly has voted to suspend Russia from the human rights council after images of atrocities apparently showing civilians left dead in the streets with their hands bound emerged following Russian troops’ withdrawal from around Kyiv. The call for Russia’s removal from the UN’s top human rights body was led by the United States, which concluded that Russian forces had committed war crimes. In a vote yesterday it gained the support of 93 countries. They were urged on by Sergiy Kyslytsya, Ukraine’s ambassador, who told diplomats that “pressing ‘no’ means pulling the trigger, and means a red dot on the [voting] screen, red as the blood of the innocent lives lost”. Russia had said it would consider a yes vote an unfriendly act that would affect its bilateral relations with those countries. President Biden said he applauded the “overwhelming vote.”

WWW Comment

Russia has become a pariah state and is being ostracised by the majority of nations in the world. It is hard to see how Russia comes back from this. Such is the violence and horror that Putin’s soldiers have carried out there is no chance he will ever be welcome in the institutions the world has created. But this makes Putin even more dangerous. Many analysts say he will resort to ever greater levels of atrocity. Isolated, angry but surrounded only by people who agree with his every word Putin will look to avenge his humiliation in Ukraine. Daniel 8 says that Putin (latter day Antiochus Epiphanes the original king of the north) will “cause a shocking amount of destruction”. Another version says he will “cause astounding devastation.” The AV says “he shall destroy wonderfully.”

Putin will not be cowed by events turning against him in Ukraine – he will destroy more.

At the end of their rule, when their sin is at its height, a fierce king, a master of intrigue, will rise to power. He will become very strong, but not by his own power. He will cause a shocking amount of destruction and succeed in everything he does. (Daniel 8:23-24 NLT)

Andy Walton

> Find the Weekly World Watch to download.

 

Putin lays out his demands in Turkish phone call

Turkey has positioned itself with great care to be the go-between with Russia and Ukraine – and this seems to be paying off.

On Thursday afternoon, President Vladimir Putin rang the Turkish President, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and told him what Russia’s precise demands were for a peace deal with Ukraine. The Russian demands fall into two categories. Chief among them is an acceptance by Ukraine that it should be neutral and should not apply to join Nato. Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky has already conceded this. Ukraine would have to undergo a disarmament process to ensure it wasn’t a threat to Russia. There would have to be protection for the Russian language in Ukraine. And there is something called de-Nazification. Russia will demand that the Ukrainian government should give up territory in eastern Ukraine. That will be deeply contentious. Russia will also demand that Ukraine should formally accept that Crimea.

Turkey is allied to Russia when Russia descends into Israel at some point in the future. But Turkey and Ukraine have a long chronology of historical, geographic, and cultural contact. Turkey became one of the first states in the world to announce officially about recognition of sovereign Ukraine in the early 90’s. Turkey’s relations with Russia are more cyclical. But overall they have improved significantly in recent years.

Russia became Turkey’s largest provider of energy, while many Turkish companies began to operate in Russia.

The Bible says that Turkey will be allied to Russia when it invades Israel. So it is interesting to see them playing the role of “go-between” at this time. Putin’s end game is to take east Ukraine – the final part of ancient Magog….

Gomer, and all his bands; the house of Togarmah of the north quarters, and all his bands: and many people with thee. Be thou prepared, and prepare for thyself, thou, and all thy company that are assembled unto thee, and be thou a guard [protection] unto them. (Ezekiel 38:4)

Gomer and Togarmah are both areas of modern Turkey.

 

Andy Walton

Find this week’s: Weekly World Watch

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Additional reading

1. Signs of the times – “Turkey and Russia”
2. Signs of the Times – “Global Britain”
3. Turkey 2021 update
4. Kazakhstan: strikes and riots rock the regime
5. Putin, Erdogan Pledge To Boost Russia-Turkey Ties
6. A Brief Look at NATO and Russia’s Push to Reform the Old Soviet Union

Majority of US weapons promised to Ukraine in February delivered

March 4,2022

The United States has already delivered more than two thirds of the arms it promised in late February to Ukraine, whose forces are “effectively” using them to push back the Russians, a Pentagon official said Friday.
On February 26, Washington authorized $350 million of military equipment — the largest such package in US history — to bolster Kyiv against the Russian invasion, which began last week. An official with the US State Department’s Bureau of Political-Military Affairs told Congress this week that the package aimed to

“provide urgently needed ammunition, Javelin anti-tank missiles and the Stinger man portable air defense systems to Ukraine.”

Her testimony officially confirmed for the first time America’s delivery of the high-tech Stingers, which can be used to shoot down low-flying aircraft. The Pentagon official told reporters that out of the $350 million,

“we have already delivered to the Ukrainians $240 million-worth of that package, including some of the most needed capabilities like anti-armour capabilities.”

Having identified the king of Daniel 11 v 36-39 as Gog – the ruler of the Russian people – the king of the north – we can now see that the king of the south will “push” at him. The king of the south is US / UK predominately – as mentioned in Ezekiel 38 the parallel passage to Daniel 11:36 to the end. The push from the king of the south against Gog is a provocation – something painful. The word “push” is the Hebrew word to “gore” as in an animal with a horn attacking. A goat or bull goring you would be very painful although not life threatening in most cases. In this sense we are looking for a direct military provocation against Gog. Gog was originally a real and historical person and ruled the Magogites. These people lived in Southern Russia. Notice how the article says that US weapons are being used to “PUSH” back the Russians….

And at the time of the end shall the king of the south push at him: (Daniel 11:40)

KEY POINT – notice the colon at the end of “push at him:” The colon in the original text denotes a time gap. Russia doesn’t instantly come down into Israel. The inner ring war happens in this short gap of time

Andy Walton

 

Find the Weekly World Watch: Download Weekly World Watch

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Preceding

PM warns Vladimir Putin against ‘tragic mistake’ as tensions rise with Ukraine

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Additional reading

1. King of the North
2. King of the South
3. Russian involvement in US elections
4. Russia, Belarus, Ukraine and Russian troop movements
5. A watchman seeing the sword coming
6. Putin puts Russia’s nuclear force on high alert
7. Putin’s Moves Toward War in Ukraine Show How Dangerous He Has Become
8. Gas supplies from the Gulf may come with a catch
9. A Brief Look at NATO and Russia’s Push to Reform the Old Soviet Union

Antisemitism animating Putin’s claim to ‘denazify’ Ukraine

The Russian leader’s pretext for invasion recasts Ukraine’s Jewish president as a Nazi and Russian Christians as true victims of the Holocaust.
When Russian president Vladimir Putin announced Russia’s invasion of Ukraine at dawn on Thursday, he justified the “special military operation” as having the goal to “denazify” Ukraine.

Ukraine is a democratic country, whose popular president was elected, in a free and fair election, with over 70% of the vote. That president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, is Jewish, and comes from a family partially wiped out in the Nazi Holocaust.

Vladimir Putin is himself a fascist autocrat. Fascism is a cult of the leader, who promises national restoration in the face of supposed humiliation by ethnic or religious minorities, liberals, immigrants etc. The dominant version of antisemitism alive in parts of eastern Europe today is that Jews employ the Holocaust to seize the victimhood narrative from the “real” victims of the Nazis, who are Russian Christians.

After Volodymyr Zelensky won the Ukrainian presidency in a landslide in April 2019, his country became the only country besides Israel with a Jewish president and prime minister. It’s remarkable given that only a tiny minority of Ukraine is Jewish. And yet Putin in his rationale for invading Ukraine said that his mission is to “denazify” Ukraine.
By claiming that the aim of the invasion is to “denazify” Ukraine, Putin appeals to the myths of contemporary eastern European antisemitism – that a global elite of Jews were (and are) the real agents of violence against Russian Christians and the real victims of the Nazis were not the Jews, but rather this group. Hence the hatred of Zelenskiy. Russian president Dmitry Medvedev denounced Zelenskiy as disgusting, corrupt and faithless. The true colours of Putin’s view of the Jews is now in the open….

a fierce king, a master of intrigue, will rise to power. He will become very strong, but not by his own power. He will cause a shocking amount of destruction and succeed in everything he does. He will destroy powerful leaders and devastate the holy people. (Daniel 8:23-24 NLT)

Andy Walton

 

Find our > Weekly World Watch

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Find also to read

1. A Jew who would be a Nazi who has to be killed according president Putin
2. Miscalculation as high as it was in August 1914 No one outside of Serbia expected war

Israel weighing options amid deepening Russia-Ukraine crisis

Israel is considering its position as tensions rise on the Russia-Ukraine border, and the Foreign Ministry plans to deliberate the matter on Monday. Jerusalem has generally maintained a position of neutrality between the countries since their 2014 war.

Maintaining good relations with Moscow is a strategic interest for Israel in light of Russia’s significant military presence in Syria. Israel also has strong ties with Ukraine in a variety of areas, and Kyiv has the support of Israel’s most important ally, the US, in the current crisis. Another major concern for Israel is how the Ukraine-Russia crisis will impact the Iran nuclear talks. The US and Russia sit around the same table, and their delegations met in Vienna over the weekend. Mikhail Ulynanov, head of the Russian delegation to the Iran talks, on Saturday 22 tweeted:

“Russia-US relations are in extremely bad shape. However, on Iran we managed to work productively so far.”

Israel is very concerned about how a Ukraine / Russian war could play out as far as they are concerned. According to analysts the moment of truth is coming if war begins. There would be pressure on Israel to take a side. The US would pressure to condemn Russian action as well as pressure from Ukraine itself. There is a very large Ukrainian community in Israel who will want Israel to back Ukraine. There is also the concern over how the war in Ukraine could impact the delicate Iranian talks. Russia and the US are working together on Iran at the moment. But conflict in Ukraine could throw a major spanner in the works. This could lead to Iran breaking out for a nuclear weapon with Moscow’s blessing as a punishment to the West. We are on the brink of major events…

The Lord, who stretches out the heavens, who lays the foundation of the earth, and who forms the human spirit within a person, declares:. “I am going to make Jerusalem a cup that sends all the surrounding peoples reeling. Judah will be besieged as well as Jerusalem. (Zechariah 12:1-2 NIV)

 

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Iran nuclear talks on brink of collapse, diplomats warn

The Times, January 21, 2022

Western negotiators have said that talks to rescue the Iran nuclear deal are on the point of collapse because Tehran’s nuclear programme is advancing faster than diplomatic progress towards an agreement. After talks on Thursday, Jean-Yves Le Drian, the French foreign minister, said the discussions were in a “life-threatening emergency”.

“There is partial, timid and slow progress, but negotiations cannot continue at such a slow pace while, in parallel, Iran’s nuclear programme advances so rapidly,”

he said. President Biden said this week that the talks were moving forward and it was not time to give up. However, European negotiators have been warning for months that there is little sign of a deal being struck any time soon. Antony Blinken, the US secretary of state, said that western powers might withdraw from the talks soon.

“We are indeed at a decisive moment,”

he said.

It seems as if many crisis’s are all coming to a head at the same time. Not only is Ukraine on the brink of war – possibly the most serious event since World War 2 – we also have Iran talks on the edge of a cliff as well. It is no coincidence that all these things are coming together at once.

The Bible says the world will enter a time of trouble such as never was. It makes sense then that multiple crisis’s will develop at the same time. Iran is the power behind the initial inner ring war involving Israel’s neighbours – Hamas, Hezbollah, Syria. This deal (or lack of it) could spark this inner ring war around Israel. As one commentator put it..

“The Iranians, under their new president, Ebrahim Raisi, smell weakness, especially since the rushed western exit from Afghanistan. In Biden, they see a president with no fight. And they want comprehensive revenge…”

In the Bible we find

Say to the nations far and wide:

“Get ready for war! Call out your best warriors. Let all your fighting men advance for the attack. Hammer your plowshares into swords and your pruning hooks into spears. Train even your weaklings to be warriors. Come quickly, all you nations everywhere. Gather together in the valley.” (Joel 3:9-11 NLT)

Andy Walton

Find this weeks Weekly World Watch: Download this week’s WWW or or Download as a PDF

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Find also to read

1. A watchman seeing the sword coming
2. Signs of the Times – A boost for Israel
3. Israel featured twice on list of potential 2022 conflicts
4. PM warns Vladimir Putin against ‘tragic mistake’ as tensions rise with Ukraine
5. Moscow lists demands for defusing Ukraine tensions
6. Sings of the times – Difficult moments at the borders of Europe
7. Iran shows off rocket launch to raise pressure in nuclear deal talks
8. Nuclear-War Risk Minimized in Rare Statement by Weapon States
9. Are we shambling into WWIII?
10. British troops deployed to Polish border as tensions with Russia rise
11. Russia, Belarus, Ukraine and Russian troop movements
12. Biden predicts Russia will attack Ukraine but warns Putin of a ‘stiff price’
13. Putin is sabre-rattling at the West’s moment of maximum weakness

Israel featured twice on list of potential 2022 conflicts

A think tank and research institute on global crises released a list of ten international conflicts to anticipate in 2022, with potential wars involving Israel featured twice. The compilation, released by the  International Crisis Group, said the world could witness possible conflicts between Israel and the Palestinian territories this year, as well as a war involving Israel, the United States, and Iran.

If nuclear negotiations in Vienna with Iran fail, “which now seems probable,” then either Israel or the US may attempt to demolish Iran’s nuclear program by striking facilities across the country – prompting a war – the International Crisis Group predicted. The think tank also forecasted an additional conflict between Israel and the Palestinian territories, noting that Palestinians within Gaza, the West Bank, Israel, and east Jerusalem presented a more unified front during the 2021 outbreak of Israeli-Palestinian violence than in previous wars.

The annual report by the “International Crisis Group” looks at potential conflicts for the coming year. In its opening statement it says

“it is easy to see a world careering off the tracks.”

It quotes the triumph of the Taliban as the US withdrew coupled with a

“dwindling US ambition on the global stage.”

It also sees the “power showdown over Ukraine and Taiwan” as causes for conflict.

All this analysis fits into Bible prophecy. But the other one they mention is Israel. They see Israel potential being drawn into conflict with Iran and with their surrounding neighbours in 2022. This is exactly what we have been saying the WWW for 20 years. There is great trouble and conflict coming with Iran – Isaiah 21 tells us that. We know Iran will be behind the activation of its proxy armies around Israel when the inner ring war starts. Eg Hamas, Hezbollah and even Syria. For the first time all these conflicts look like they could happen at anytime…..in 2022….

Andy Walton

Come to read the Weekly World Watch

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3. Palestinians rally in support of prisoners held by Israel
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5. Daily Sabah: Israel or the US? Who decides in the end?
6. Israel: cyberattacks against apartheid state increase
7. Abbas asks Sisi for help with contacts in Israel
8. Rai al-Youm: A third West Bank intifada? Signs of an incipient rebellion within Fateh against Abbas and the PA
9. The Israeli occupation army is weaker than ever, despite state of the art weapons
10. Top 5 of the greatest missions known to the world by Moosad
11. Protesters and Police Clash in Russia
12. Pope Francis Visits Iraq
13. U.S. Defense Secretary Visits Afghanistan
14. Syria to Hold Presidential Election
15. Israel and Palestine: A route forward
16. Apartheid South Africa and Israel’s Treatment of the Palestinians – Modern Parallels
17. Collision Course: China and the Taliban
18. Taliban Seizes Control of Afghanistan
19. Thousands of Brazilians Take to the Streets
20. Haitian Migrant Crisis
21. Protests in Sudan
22. Unrest in the Solomon Islands
23. Putin Visits India
24. Global Affairs Weekly Stories (Week of December 19, 2021)
25. New Lines Magazine: Assad Tests the Patience of Its Ally Russia
26. Iran’s foreign minister, Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, meets Hamas leader, Ismail Haniyeh
27. US abandons plans for EastMed pipeline due to ‘destabilising’ regional tensions
28. Israel arrests four women for providing intelligence to Iran

Moscow lists demands for defusing Ukraine tensions

Russia said on Friday it wanted a legally binding guarantee that NATO would give up any military activity in Eastern Europe and Ukraine, part of a wish list of security guarantees it wants to negotiate with the West.

Moscow for the first time laid out in detail demands that it says are essential for lowering tensions in Europe and defusing a crisis over Ukraine, which Western countries have accused Russia of sizing up for a potential invasion after building up troops near the border. Russia has denied planning an invasion. The demands contain elements – such as an effective Russian veto on future NATO membership for Ukraine – that the West has already ruled out.
Others would imply the removal of U.S. nuclear weapons from Europe and the withdrawal of multinational NATO battalions from Poland and from the Baltic States of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania that were once in the Soviet Union.

Steve Rosenberg is the BBC’s Moscow correspondent and has been for many years. This is his analysis of the situation.

“Diplomacy is the art of the possible. Well it was… until now. It’s virtually impossible to imagine the US and Nato signing the draft documents Russian diplomats have drawn up, without considerable changes. Russia is demanding a veto on who joins the Alliance. A non-starter. Nato has said many times before that Moscow can have no say over who gets to be a member. Plus the Russians want to turn the clock back to May 1997. Any country that joined the Nato alliance after that date won’t be allowed Nato troops or weaponry. Moscow knows very well it’s demanding things the West won’t deliver, so why ask?”

Russia is demanding the “impossible” as far as NATO is concerned. This could be Putin’s way of blaming the West when (if) war starts on their own intransigence. Gog is preparing for war….

Be thou prepared, and prepare for thyself, thou, and all thy company that are assembled unto thee, and be thou a guard unto them.  After many days thou shalt be visited: in the latter years thou shalt come into the land that is brought back from the sword, (Ezekiel 38:7-8)

 

Andy Walton

Weekly World Watch: for this week

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Preceding

Powerful Russia rising from the ashes

Entering a new period of ‘Cold War’

PM warns Vladimir Putin against ‘tragic mistake’ as tensions rise with Ukraine

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Additional reading

1. Middle East migrants lured into thinking Belarus would provide a gateway to Europe
2. France, Germany Propose EU Summit With Russia’s Putin, Diplomats Say
3. Russian bombers fly over Belarus as border crisis deepens
4. British troops deployed to Polish border as tensions with Russia rise
5. Germany blocks Nord Stream 2 pipe from Russia
6. Russia reacting to attempts to break ‘strategic parity’
7. Are we shambling into WWIII?
8. President Joe Biden speaking to Russian President Vladimir Putin to expect a clarification about the troop build up at the Ukraine border
9. Risk of accidental war with Russia highest in decades, general warns
10. Tensions increase along Ukrainian frontlines amid Russia conflict
11. Russia, Belarus, Ukraine and Russian troop movements
12. Prepare for Russian invasion of Ukraine, US warns European allies
13. Britain in talks to sell missiles in first arms deal with Ukraine
14. Russia has ‘no trust’ in Nato over Ukraine
15. If Russia chooses to fail to de-escalate
16. A lot of talk about a war beginning soon